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Simulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenarios

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dc.citedby18
dc.contributor.authorHaider S.en_US
dc.contributor.authorMasood M.U.en_US
dc.contributor.authorRashid M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorAlshehri F.en_US
dc.contributor.authorPande C.B.en_US
dc.contributor.authorKatipo?lu O.M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorCostache R.en_US
dc.contributor.authorid58188293400en_US
dc.contributor.authorid57062195300en_US
dc.contributor.authorid57226273127en_US
dc.contributor.authorid57224683617en_US
dc.contributor.authorid57193547008en_US
dc.contributor.authorid57203751801en_US
dc.contributor.authorid55888132500en_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-10-14T03:17:39Z
dc.date.available2024-10-14T03:17:39Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractAssessing the impacts of climate change and land use/land cover changes on water resources within a catchment is essential because it helps us understand how these dynamic factors affect the quantity, quality, and availability of freshwater. This knowledge is crucial for making informed decisions about water management, conservation, and adaptation strategies, especially in regions facing increasing environmental uncertainties and challenges to water resource sustainability. In Pakistan�s Kunhar River Basin (KRB), this investigation explores the potential effects of shifting land use/land cover (LULC), and climate on stream flows. The SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), a semi-distributed hydrological model, and the most recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) dataset from multiple global climate models (GCMs) were used to evaluate these effects. The temperature and precipitation data were downscaled using the CMhyd softwareen_US
dc.description.abstractfor both shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP2 and SSP5), the top-performing GCM out of four was required to produce downscaled precipitation and temperature predictions while taking future land use characteristics into account. The output from the chosen GCM indicated that by the conclusion of the 21st century, relative to the reference period (1985�2014), the study area�s average monthly precipitation, highest temperature, and lowest temperature will be increasing. Precipitation is anticipated to increase between 2015 and 2100 by 20.5% and 29.1% according to the SSP2 and SSP5 scenarios, respectively. This study�s findings, which emphasize the need for project planners and managers taking into account the effects of climate and land cover changes in their management techniques, show that climate change can have a significant impact on the changing seasons of flows in the Kunhar River basin. � 2023 by the authors.en_US
dc.description.natureFinalen_US
dc.identifier.ArtNo3421
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/w15193421
dc.identifier.issue19
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85174068630
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85174068630&doi=10.3390%2fw15193421&partnerID=40&md5=7dd4c12c11cd1a6d30e1c56f86828236
dc.identifier.urihttps://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/34013
dc.identifier.volume15
dc.publisherMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)en_US
dc.relation.ispartofAll Open Access
dc.relation.ispartofGold Open Access
dc.sourceScopus
dc.sourcetitleWater (Switzerland)
dc.subjectCA_MARKOV
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectCMIP6
dc.subjectGCMs
dc.subjectland use change
dc.subjectPakistan
dc.subjectstreamflow
dc.subjectSWAT
dc.subjectKunhar Basin
dc.subjectPakistan
dc.subjectCatchments
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectClimate models
dc.subjectEconomics
dc.subjectLand use
dc.subjectStream flow
dc.subjectSustainable development
dc.subjectWater management
dc.subjectWatersheds
dc.subjectCA-Markov
dc.subjectCoupled Model Intercomparison Project
dc.subjectCoupled model intercomparison project phase 6
dc.subjectGlobal climate model
dc.subjectGlobal climates
dc.subjectLanduse change
dc.subjectPakistan
dc.subjectProject phasis
dc.subjectSoil and Water assessment tools
dc.subjectStreamflow
dc.subjectcatchment
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectCMIP
dc.subjectgeneral circulation model
dc.subjectglobal climate
dc.subjectland use change
dc.subjectMarkov chain
dc.subjectrunoff
dc.subjectsimulation
dc.subjectsoil and water assessment tool
dc.subjectstreamflow
dc.subjectSWAT
dc.titleSimulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenariosen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
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