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A combined probabilistic and deterministic method for an improved capacity outage probability table synthesis using Monte Carlo methods

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dc.citedby6
dc.contributor.authorHashim A.H.en_US
dc.contributor.authorChan S.E.H.en_US
dc.contributor.authorAu M.T.en_US
dc.contributor.authorid24447656300en_US
dc.contributor.authorid55455849500en_US
dc.contributor.authorid9742020600en_US
dc.date.accessioned2023-12-29T07:53:18Z
dc.date.available2023-12-29T07:53:18Z
dc.date.issued2009
dc.description.abstractAn electrical power system is typically operated at least cost given some technical and reliability constraints. To that end, many utilities use deterministic methods such as n-1 criterion in order to ensure reliability. This method though being used worldwide and for a really long time can be expensive as contingencies occur rarely. In order to evaluate power systems, it must be noted that contingencies are stochastic in nature. Since reliability of supply and economic cost must be balanced, probabilistic analysis seems to be one of the tools which can be applied. In the case of generator dispatch, the most recognized probability tool is the Capacity Outage Probability Table (COPT). However, the synthesis of the COPT using the Recursive Method as proposed by Billinton and Allan can be cumbersome. This paper presents an integration of probabilistic and deterministic methods for outage analysis. It shows an alternative method to develop the COPT using a pseudo-deterministic method combined with a Monte Carlo method. Thus, making the process of developing a COPT simpler and can reduce computation time. �2009 IEEE.en_US
dc.description.natureFinalen_US
dc.identifier.ArtNo5398656
dc.identifier.doi10.1109/ICEENVIRON.2009.5398656
dc.identifier.epage144
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-77949601702
dc.identifier.spage140
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-77949601702&doi=10.1109%2fICEENVIRON.2009.5398656&partnerID=40&md5=446cf6e3b0f23de6c4818e4b69c171ec
dc.identifier.urihttps://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/30789
dc.pagecount4
dc.sourceScopus
dc.sourcetitleICEE 2009 - Proceeding 2009 3rd International Conference on Energy and Environment: Advancement Towards Global Sustainability
dc.subjectCapacity outage table (COPT)
dc.subjectMonte-Carlo synthesis
dc.subjectProbability
dc.subjectReliability
dc.subjectCost benefit analysis
dc.subjectOutages
dc.subjectProbability
dc.subjectQuality assurance
dc.subjectReliability analysis
dc.subjectSustainable development
dc.subjectAlternative methods
dc.subjectCapacity outage
dc.subjectCapacity outage probability tables
dc.subjectComputation time
dc.subjectDeterministic methods
dc.subjectEconomic costs
dc.subjectElectrical power system
dc.subjectLeast cost
dc.subjectMONTE CARLO
dc.subjectMonte-Carlo synthesis
dc.subjectN-1 criterion
dc.subjectOutage analysis
dc.subjectPower systems
dc.subjectProbabilistic analysis
dc.subjectRecursive methods
dc.subjectReliability constraints
dc.subjectReliability of supply
dc.subjectMonte Carlo methods
dc.titleA combined probabilistic and deterministic method for an improved capacity outage probability table synthesis using Monte Carlo methodsen_US
dc.typeConference Paperen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
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